Ms. Tokuda defeated her top rival, Patrick Branco, a first-term state representative, and several others. , Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinoiss 17th Congressional District. , Abigail Spanberger, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Virginias Seventh Congressional District. Our newest ratings and updates, But with turnout typically much lower in primary elections and in midterm cycles, that delay was not expected this year. Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. All rights reserved. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. fresh out of the oven. Our state is at a pivotal point in its history, change is in the wind, and this is an important opportunity to direct our state toward a more resilient future, Caldwell said in a statement. race", "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor", "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke", "Former Lt. Gov. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. , Gov. Mr. Schatz, as the states lieutenant governor, was a rising political star in Hawaii when he was appointed to the Senate. California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. Alicia Parlapiano Pennsylvanias Senate race now leans Democratic, according to our estimates. Lazaro Gamio Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. . Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. There are also two other Democrats running to be LG Daniel. Heres where we think votes remain. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2022, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors serve two-year terms and will elect their governors in 2024 . The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. Lazaro Gamio Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. #7-500
Among those 18 to 49 years old, some 38% said they would vote for him. The Hawaii Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C., from July 12 to 17. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/13/us/elections/results-hawaii-governor.html. David Ige. Challenging Mr. Schatz in the primary is Steve Tataii, a conflict-resolution consultant who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House in 1992, 2002 and 2008. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. Cayetanos favorability skyrocketed from 13% in January to 38% in July, while the first Hawaii Poll measurement of Kaheles favorability stood at 30% in July. In contrast, Kahele had stronger numbers among the younger group. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. Winer has supported Hawaii candidates for years, including serving as a general consultant for Kaheles successful, first-term run for Congress in 2020, but he now supports Green as an unpaid campaign volunteer. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. IE 11 is not supported. In third place is City Councilwoman Heidi Tsuneyoshi at 9%. 500 Ala Moana Blvd. Greens popularity is off the charts, and it has sustained throughout this (COVID-19) crisis, which could have hurt him.. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. Josh Green continues to enjoy a commanding lead in the Democratic primary race for governor, while Congressman Kai Kahele and businesswoman Vicky Cayetano are in a distant second and third place, respectively. Only seven people have held Senate seats since Hawaii became a state in 1959. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. Historically, the selection of Saturday also helped the state find places to hold elections, according to Nedielyn Bueno, a voter service specialist with the Office of Elections. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Lazaro Gamio RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Republican Primary These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. I really liked his communication through the pandemic., Briscoes sister and her husband also met Green on separate occasions and made the same recommendation, Briscoe said. Tuesday, January 3, 2023. Green raised $774,616 between July 1 and Mondays filing deadline. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. Cayetano communications director Lynne Waters wrote in a statement that, Much has transpired since the interviews for this poll were conducted, notably the recent series of televised debates. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. Approvals still high for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. The choice mirrors an 1845 law that set federal elections on the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November.. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. NYT Graphics It is with a grateful heart that we express our fondest mahalo nui loa for your vote and support of our campaign!. race changes, Ill be sure to explain why. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. Christine Zhang Among Hawaiis four counties, Greens highest overall support comes from Hawaii County (71%), followed by Maui County (70%), Honolulu County (63%) and Kauai County (62%), the poll shows. Nov. 8, 2022, Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. Maggie Astor Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. As of July, Hawaii was the most expensive state in the nation to live in. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. , Angie Craig, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Minnesotas Second Congressional District. United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, in 36 states and three territories. Cayetano reported $655,407 in cash on hand. #HIGov #Hileg", "Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race", "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. . But Ms. Tokuda, who is backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus, leads in polling. NYT Graphics Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. 4 year term beginning noon on first Monday in December following election. The primary was scheduled for August 13, 2022. While Tuesdays election represented a strong performance by a first-term presidents party, the individual showings of Senate candidates varied widely. Polls close in Hawaii, and initial results could be reported soon. Nov. 8, 2022, Because of the order in which different types of ballots are counted, early returns can be misleading. Green, who is an ER doctor on Hawaii Island, got the most support from Hawaii County. Heres the state of the closest races: votes. Caldwell indicated that he remains optimistic about his level of support. Alicia Parlapiano Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Our internal poll numbers show our base of support is growing, and we will continue to work hard at getting our message out , she said. Only 7% said they did not recognize Greens name, compared to 11% for Caldwell and 35% for Cayetano, suggesting she has to remind voters of who she is. What we expect this year To learn more about how election results work, read this article. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Midterms: Josh Green, Hawaiis Second-in-Command, Is Democrats. Josh Green adds to long list", "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race", "Lt. Gov. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. Green reported $1,125,877 in cash on hand as of Dec. 31. Heres where we think votes remain. A total of 800 registered Hawaii voters were interviewed statewide by landline telephone and cell phones. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. Today's Paper. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. Governor Republican Primary. Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. Virginias Seventh District is one of three races in the state that could offer an early sign of whether the Democrats can retain control of the House. Copyright 2022 Hawaii News Now. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. GOP Rep. David Rouzer is coasting to reelection. A voter dropped off a ballot in Honolulu in 2020. As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. David Ige. Activate your Digital Account now. 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